Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies 10-11-23 NCAAF Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies 10/11/23 – The college football season is well underway and, as always, full of surprises. This week, the Sam Houston Bearkats, desperately looking to turn their dismal season around, will face off against the evenly matched New Mexico State Aggies. With the former trying to salvage their reputation and the latter aiming to build on their .500 record, this game promises fireworks. For fans and bettors alike, free NCAAF picks are now more crucial than ever to navigate the intricate maze of college football matchups.

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies

Date & Time: Wednesday, October 11, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium


Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies 10/11/23 Betting Odds

Sam Houston +178+2.5 (-115)46.5 over (-112)
New Mexico State-224-2.5 (-115)46.5 under (-110)

Sam Houston Bearkats Analysis

Offensively, the Bearkats have been feeling the heat this season. Quarterback Keegan Shoemaker, despite his 731 passing yards, has thrown an equal number of touchdowns and interceptions, a statistic that underscores the team’s offensive woes. However, his connection with wide receiver Noah Smith, who averages 8.4 yards per reception, shows potential for big plays. On the ground, John Gentry has been the primary ball carrier but needs to find ways to break through defensive lines more efficiently.

Defensively, the Bearkats’ record paints a grim picture. A 0-10 SU in their last 10 games, including a disheartening 0-6 on the road, shows that the Bearkats are struggling to find their footing. Their defensive line has been porous, giving opponents ample opportunities to score. A tighter defensive strategy and better communication in the secondary could be key if they hope to stand a chance against the Aggies.

New Mexico State Aggies Analysis

The Aggies have showcased a relatively solid offensive performance this season. Quarterback Diego Pavia has been instrumental in driving the team forward, with an impressive 1,329 passing yards. His vision and decision-making, especially in connecting with wide receiver Jonathan Brady, who boasts a whopping 21 yards per reception, make the Aggies a formidable opponent. Additionally, Pavia’s rushing stats highlight his versatility and the added dimension he brings to the team’s offense.

However, the Aggies’ defense leaves room for improvement. While their overall record is decent, they’ve shown vulnerabilities against determined offenses. The team needs to tighten its defensive ranks, especially against a Bearkats’ offense that, despite its struggles, has the potential to surprise. Ensuring a strong presence in the midfield and preventing deep passes will be crucial for the Aggies to maintain their home record.

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies Against the Spread

Sam Houston State, despite their challenging season, have a surprising 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games. However, their recent form, particularly on the road, is concerning, which casts doubt on their ability to cover the spread against a team like the Aggies.

On the other hand, New Mexico State’s home performance has been commendable, with a 6-0 SU in their last 6 games. Their ATS statistics, especially their 6-1 ATS in October games, indicate their strength and consistency during this period. However, their record against the Western Athletic conference raises some eyebrows.

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies Free Pick

Moneyline: New Mexico State -224

Given the New Mexico State Aggies home performance and the Bearkats’ struggles, the Aggies seem the safer bet.

Spread: New Mexico State -2.5 (-115)

The Aggies should be able to cover the spread based on their current form.

Total: 46.5 over (-112)

Both teams have shown the potential for high-scoring games.

Predicted Score: New Mexico State Aggies 28, Sam Houston Bearkats 20

Concluding, while the Bearkats will be eager to turn their season around, the Aggies, buoyed by their home form, seem better positioned to clinch a win. For those looking for the most reliable pick, the Aggies’ moneyline seems a safe bet. And for those interested in further exploring the world of sports betting, the Canadian online sportsbook offers a range of options to delve deeper into the thrilling universe of NCAAF betting.