San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins 5-11-23 MLB Prediction, Odds and Bets

San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins 5/11/23 – Target Field will host Thursday’s match between the Minnesota Twins and San Diego Padres. Yu Darvish will start for the Padres while Bailey Ober of the Twins will take the field against them. Minnesota and San Diego have split their last ten meetings evenly. The Minnesota Twins are favored in this match by the MLB betting stats.

San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins

Date & Time: Thursday, May 11, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET

Location: Target Field Minneapolis, MN


San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins 5/11/23 Betting Odds


Moneyline: -115

Spread: -1.5 (+144)

Total: 8.5 over (-106)


Moneyline: +105

Spread: +1.5 (-164)

Total: 8.5 under (-114)

San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Analysis

The San Diego Padres have had an outstanding week, winning three of five of their games. They will attempt to keep their momentum going against the Twins with another win that will mark their fourth in six games and give them the series victory. San Diego is currently averaging 4.19 runs per game with a batting average of 0.234, ranking 23rd among MLB clubs. Their 0.321 on base percentage places them 16th overall while their 0.396 slugging percentage. San Diego has experienced strong pitching performance this season, allowing just 4.17 runs per game on average. Opponents have hit for an average batting average against the Padres of 0.237, ranking them eighth overall. Their 4.03 earned run average and 1.29 WHIP rank 12th and 14th, respectively.

Yu Darvish will take the mound for the Padres. Darvish has pitched 1,524 frames and amassed 1,828 strikeouts over his career. His ERA stands at 3.49 and his career WHIP stands at 1.125. To date he has allowed 1,223 hits while collecting 492 free passes. Darvish currently boasts an ERA of 3.46 in his major-league tenure and has faced 6,252 batters during that time.

The Minnesota Twins followed up their two-game winning streak with three consecutive losses. A win against the Padres would give them their third win in six games and mark an end to their losing streak. Minnesota has averaged 4.25 runs per game this season and have posted a 0.219 batting average and 0.385 slugging percentage in the league which ranked at 22nd. Minnesota’s pitching has been excellent this season, giving up only 3.92 runs per game while opponents average just 0.221 batting average against them. Their 3.35 ERA stands in third place while their 1.14 WHIP comes in at second.

Bailey Ober will be the starting pitcher for the Twins. Ober has allowed 150 base hits and amassed 163 strikeouts over his 166 innings of pitching. Ober has posted an impressive 3.51 ERA while giving up an average of 8.1 hits per nine innings, giving up 65 earned runs total and boasting both a 1.116 WHIP rating and FIP score of 3.8. He boasts a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.53 in 674 batter encounters across his MLB career.

San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Against the Spread

Under is 5-0 in the Padres last 5 during game 3 of a series. Under is 5-0-1 in the Padres last 6 interleague games. Under is 6-0 in the Padres last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-0-1 in the Padres last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in Darvish’s last 4 interleague starts.

Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall. Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 Thursday games. Under is 5-0-2 in Twins last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 on grass. Under is 4-0 in Obers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.

San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Free Pick

The Twins have lost three of their last five games overall but won six of nine home games during that span. Their offense has been performing strongly at home, especially as Darvish has struggled in his last two starts by giving up six runs to their opponents. Therefore, Twins will outscore the Padres here and they are expected to win this matchup as per the MLB betting sites.

Free Pick: Minnesota Twins +105