SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund 9-16-23 Bundesliga Soccer Best Picks, Odds, and Tips

SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund 9/16/23 – As the Bundesliga season starts to heat up, one match that stands out is SC Freiburg against Borussia Dortmund at Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg on September 16, 2023. This matchup will also provide goaltenders from both sides with an actual test. This contest presents plenty of betting intrigue for anyone searching for Bundesliga free picks.

SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund

Date & Time: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 9:30 AM ET

Location: Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg, Germany

TV: SlingTV Orange

SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund 9/16/23 Betting Odds

SC Freiburg+210+1 (-167)2.5 over (-200)
Borussia Dortmund+108-1 (+305)2.5 under (+162)

SC Freiburg Analysis

SC Freiburg have had an uneven start to their Bundesliga campaign, making their upcoming encounter with Borussia Dortmund all the more significant. One key consideration should be Freiburg’s defensive record – they have conceded 6 goals while scoring just 3. This 2.00 goals-against-per-90-minutes ratio shows their backline is under strain, and a goal differential of -3 indicates this further. To be competitive against Borussia Dortmund, they will need offensive power and strong defense to prevent goals from being scored on them.

At 6.1, Freiburg’s expected goals are positive, suggesting they create quality chances but fail to convert. Their forwards and midfielders must show more composure in front of goal. Their goaltender Noah Atubolu‘s performance has been anything but comforting, boasting only a 45.5% save percentage with only one clean sheet recorded during 2018. Atubolu must step up his game against Dortmund’s powerful attack; his ability to prevent goals will ensure Freiburg remains competitive during this matchup.

Borussia Dortmund Analysis

Borussia Dortmund is making strides in the Bundesliga, sitting 9th with 5 points and boasting a goal differential of +1. They have found the back of the net four times so far, and their xG of 6.4 suggests they may be due for a breakout performance, suggesting that chances are being created and that more goals are scored than Freiburg.

Gregor Kobel has been on an outstanding streak lately, boasting an 88.2% save percentage – giving Dortmund an edge in this matchup. Kobel’s play has been vital in keeping Dortmund’s defensive integrity intact; only 1.00 goals per 90 minutes allowed against them has ever been allowed, so his form could be the game-changer for Dortmund’s backline and provide security from one clean sheet performance from this Swiss goalie if his form continues as planned – it will likely prevent Freiburg from scoring more than one goal against Kobel’s performance.

SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund Against the Spread

Freiburg’s recent form has been uneven; they currently possess a 2-1 win-loss record over their last five outings and have managed to keep pace against the spread with a 2-2 mark. Of particular note is their performance on the road, where they went 1-1 against the spread – particularly remarkable given that two out of their last three games saw totals go OVER two out of three times, though when playing at home, totals have not followed this trend; zero of their last one home games went over.

Borussia Dortmund has proven challenging for bettors to understand. Though they currently boast a perfect record in their last five games against the spread, they are struggling, as evidenced by a dismal 0-3 mark and an equal record when traveling on the road (0-1). Regarding totals, Dortmund games have been unpredictable, going OVER in only one of three matches overall and two out of their three home matches, respectively.

SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund Free Pick

Taking into account the performance trends and goalkeeping quality, a predicted scoreline is in favor of Borussia Dortmund seems plausible.

Moneyline: Borussia Dortmund +108

With a strong goaltender and an attack due to fire, Dortmund offers better value.

Spread: SC Freiburg +1 (-167)

Dortmund may be more robust, but Freiburg has shown resilience and could keep the match within a single goal.

Total: 2.5 over (-200)

Both teams have shown tendencies to be involved in high-scoring matches, making this an appealing bet.

Draw: While a draw is less probable, the odds offer a tempting risk-reward scenario.

Prediction: 1-2 Borussia Dortmund win

The stage is set for a thrilling Bundesliga encounter between SC Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund. From the performance metrics to the goaltenders, both teams bring unique strengths and weaknesses, offering many betting options. For those interested in sports betting in Canada, this match is an excellent opportunity to engage in responsible gambling excitement.