South Alabama Jaguars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys 9-16-23 NCAAF Odds, Analysis, and Prediction

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys 9/16/23 – As Week 3 of the NCAAF season rolls along, football enthusiasts and bettors alike have their eyes set on one exciting matchup between South Alabama Jaguars and Oklahoma State Cowboys – Carter Bradley leading South Alabama while Alan Bowman taking on Oklahoma State will make for an eventful game that could produce some unexpected outcomes. We delve deep into data to bring accurate NCAAF Picks for this must-see matchup.

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

Date & Time: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Location: Boone Pickens Stadium

TV: ESP+

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys 9/16/23 Betting Odds

MoneylineSpreadTotal
South Alabama+225+7.5 (-112)47.5 over (-110)
Oklahoma State-265-7.5 (-108)47.5 under (-110)

South Alabama Jaguars Analysis

South Alabama Jaguars’ offense has produced some big plays thanks to quarterback Carter Bradley. Bradley’s arm has allowed his team to generate numerous big plays, primarily thanks to his efficiency, completing 42 of 56 passing attempts with 448 total yards passing, totalling 75% completion rate and an average of 8 yards per attempt average, consistently moving the chains. Unfortunately, though, there are areas for concern; Bradley’s decision-making led to three interceptions and being sacked five times for a 32-yard loss; therefore, his offensive line and himself must find better ways of handling pass rush.

Running back La’Damian Webb offers a complementary threat on the ground. Averaging an impressive 7.6 yards per carry, Webb has galloped for 121 yards and found the end zone twice. His longest rush is a substantial 33 yards, proving he can break free for big gains. Webb’s ability to find holes in the defensive line could prove to be crucial, especially if the Cowboys decide to focus on aerial defense.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Analysis

Quarterback Alan Bowman is a consistent and reliable presence for the Cowboys’ offense, albeit not a spectacular one. Completing 60% of his passing attempts, he has accumulated a modest 193 yards through the air. The most important thing is his lack of turnovers; Bowman has thrown zero interceptions, suggesting that he’s highly cautious in his throwing decisions. However, this conservative approach has yet to yield a passing touchdown, which is something that needs to improve for a more balanced offensive threat. Additionally, Bowman has been sacked twice for a loss of 9 yards, so the offensive line needs to shore up their protection schemes.

Running back Ollie Gordon II offers a solid ground game, with 97 yards on 16 carries. Averaging 6.1 yards per carry, Gordon has been an effective rusher and has already scored twice. His longest rush of 31 yards demonstrates that he has the ability to break away from the defense when given the opportunity. His presence in the backfield offers a good balance to the Cowboys’ offense, which can’t solely rely on Bowman’s arm. Wide Receiver De’Zhaun Stribling is another key piece, already accumulating 138 receiving yards and a touchdown. His 30-yard longest reception indicates that he can make plays downfield when given the opportunity.

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Against the Spread

When looking at betting trends, South Alabama’s recent record against the spread (ATS) is concerning, standing at 0-5 in their last five games. However, their 9-3 straight-up (SU) record shows they know how to win. Interestingly, the total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 7 games, indicating a penchant for high-scoring affairs. On the other side, Oklahoma State has struggled recently ATS, with a 1-4 record in their last 5 games. However, they dominate on their home turf, with a 15-1 SU record at home. These trends suggest a tight contest but give Oklahoma State an edge, especially at home.

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Free Pick

Considering the key players, betting trends, and odds, here are our picks:

Moneyline: Oklahoma State -265

Oklahoma State Cowboys at -265 is the safe bet given their home advantage and recent SU records.

Spread: Oklahoma State -7.5 (-108)

While the Jaguars have struggled ATS, the Cowboys haven’t been great either. However, considering their strong home record, it would be wise to back Oklahoma State at -7.5.

Total: 47.5 under (-110)

Given that the total has consistently gone UNDER for the Cowboys and OVER for the Jaguars recently, this is a tricky pick. Nonetheless, we’ll lean towards the UNDER 47.5, as both defenses are likely to step up.

Prediction: 17-28 Oklahoma State Cowboys win

As both teams prepare to put their best foot forward, the excitement for this matchup is through the roof. Given Oklahoma State’s strong home record and South Alabama’s recent winning streak, we could be in for a treat. For those interested in live betting in Canada, this game offers excellent opportunities to capitalize on in-game trends. Keep an eye on key players like Bradley and Bowman, as they are likely to be game-changers. In the end, while the Jaguars will offer a tough fight, the Cowboys should emerge victorious at home, making them the smarter pick for the weekend.