South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans 11-2-23 NCAAF Week 10 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans 11/2/23 – As the NCAAF season nears its zenith, Week 10 heralds a pivotal confrontation between the South Alabama Jaguars (4-4) and the Troy Trojans (6-2). This match carries substantial weight concerning conference standings and potential playoff ramifications. Given the consistent prowess and tenacity demonstrated by both squads throughout the season, this encounter is poised to captivate audiences. It is advisable to closely monitor this game for astute NCAAF betting picks.

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans

Date & Time: Thursday, November 2, 2023, at 7:30 PM ET

Location: Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium

TV: ESP2

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans 11/2/23 Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
South Alabama+108+2.5 (-120)45.5 over (-105)
Troy-138-2.5 (-111)45.5 under (-116)

South Alabama Jaguars Analysis

Offensively, the South Alabama Jaguars seem to have found a reliable leader in QB Carter Bradley. With 2156 passing yards from 254 attempts and a commendable 13 touchdowns, Bradley stands out as the offensive pivot for the team. A completion percentage of 65.7% further attests to his precision and effectiveness. Running back La’Damian Webb has been a force to reckon with, amassing 674 rushing yards and a staggering 13 touchdowns. The synergy between Bradley and wide receiver Caullin Lacy has been palpable, with Lacy boasting 957 receiving yards and six touchdowns.

While the Jaguars’ offense looks promising, concerns emerge when evaluating their defensive performance. Their ability to counteract dynamic offenses, especially teams with a diverse playbook like the Trojans, seems questionable. Although their head-to-head stats against the Trojans aren’t promising, they’ll need to buckle up, especially in the secondary, to prevent deep passes and maintain pressure on the quarterback.

Troy Trojans Analysis

The Trojans’ offense is bolstered by QB Gunnar Watson‘s phenomenal skills. Racking up 2158 passing yards from 247 attempts, Watson’s 14 touchdowns display his aptitude for making plays. With a slightly lower completion percentage at 60.3% than his counterpart Bradley, Watson’s play has nonetheless been instrumental in the Trojans’ successes this season. The ground game, anchored by Kimani Vidal, has also flourished with 994 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. The Watson-Barber connection has also shown promise, with Jabre Barber collecting 615 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

On the defensive side, the Trojans have established themselves as a formidable unit, especially at home. Their ability to restrict opponents and control the pace of the game has been a highlight. However, with the Jaguars’ potent passing game, the Trojans’ secondary and linebackers will be under scrutiny. Their focus should be on limiting Bradley’s aerial dominance and maintaining a tight defense against Webb’s rushes.

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans Against the Spread

The Jaguars, despite their balanced roster, have had their struggles ATS, especially in recent matchups against the Trojans. A 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games and 0-5 ATS in their previous five encounters with Troy raises eyebrows regarding their ability to cover the spread in this contest.

Troy, in stark contrast, boasts an impressive 4-1 ATS in their last five games, with their overall season performance instilling confidence in their backers. With a 5-0 SU in their previous five games and a dominant record at home, the Trojans seem poised to cover the spread yet again.

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Troy -138

Given the Troy Trojans’ recent form and dominance at home, the Trojans seem the safer pick.

Spread: Troy -2.5 (-111) 

Considering the Troy Trojans’ recent ATS trends and their performance against the Jaguars, the Trojans covering the spread seems probable.

Total: 45.5 over (-105)

With both teams having potent offenses and key players in form, we might witness a high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 27, South Alabama Jaguars 21

In conclusion, while the Jaguars promise a challenging contest, the Trojans, especially at home, appear to have the upper hand. For those engaged in Canadian sports betting, the Trojans covering the spread seems to be the most reliable pick. As always, exercise caution and bet responsibly.