Tennessee Titans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11-12-23 NFL Week 10 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Tennessee Titans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11/12/23 – In the realm of NFL Week 10 action, parity is the name of the game as the Tennessee Titans (3-5) go head-to-head against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) on Sunday, November 12, 2023. With both teams looking to tip the scales back to a .500 record, the clash at Raymond James Stadium is pivotal, not just for the standings but for the playoff picture that’s taking shape. This showdown is one to watch, and for those on the lookout for free NFL picks, it’s ripe with opportunities.

Tennessee Titans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date & Time: Sunday, November 12 at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Raymond James Stadium


Tennessee Titans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11/12/23 Betting Odds

Titans+100+0.5 (-105)38.5 over (-104)
Buccaneers-120-0.5 (-116)38.5 under (-118)

Tennessee Titans Analysis

Offensively, the Titans have been a mixed bag, with quarterback Ryan Tannehill‘s performance yielding modest numbers; 98 completions from 158 attempts for 1128 yards, a 62% completion rate, but marred by 6 interceptions against just 2 touchdowns. It’s the ground game, spearheaded by the relentless Derrick Henry with 601 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns, that gives Tennessee its teeth. His ability to break through defensive lines could be the key in carving up Tampa Bay’s resistance.

Defensively, the Titans have room for improvement, with a trend showing they’re capable of holding the line but often at the expense of costly plays that turn the game. With a 3-12 SU in their last 15 games, the defense must clamp down, especially on the road where they’ve seen the total go UNDER in their last 6 games, suggesting they’re in tight, low-scoring contests often decided by a crucial defensive stand or lapse.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Analysis

The Buccaneers’ offensive unit, led by Baker Mayfield, shows promise through the air with 1600 passing yards and 10 touchdowns to Mayfield’s name. However, the rushing aspect lags, with Rachaad White’s 305 yards being a telling statistic of their one-dimensional attack. Wide receiver Mike Evans remains a standout with 507 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, implying that the Titans’ secondary will have their hands full.

On defense, the Buccaneers have exhibited vulnerabilities, reflected in their 1-5 SU in their last 6 games. Their struggles are especially pronounced against teams from the AFC, where they haven’t won in their last 7 attempts. The defensive squad will need to address these weaknesses to disrupt the Titans’ ground game and capitalize on the home advantage that has seen them keep scores low in 4 of their last 5 home games.

Tennessee Titans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Against the Spread

Tennessee’s record against the spread is telling; they are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games, indicating inconsistency in beating expectations. However, their historical edge over Tampa Bay (4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings) suggests they could cover once again. Furthermore, the Titans are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games against the Buccaneers, a dominance that may well continue.

Conversely, Tampa Bay’s spread record is lackluster at best. Their inability to cover in recent matchups is compounded by a disappointing 0-7 SU against AFC teams. However, their slightly favored status by the oddsmakers for this game reflects the belief that home field might give them the slight edge they need.

Tennessee Titans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Titans +100 

With both teams sharing identical records and considering Tennessee’s historical success against Tampa Bay, the Titans are positioned as a value pick, especially with Henry’s ground game potentially dominating.

Spread: Titans +0.5 (-105) 

The Titans have consistently covered against the Buccaneers, and with a half-point spread, even a one-point victory margin would secure a win against the spread.

Total: 38.5 under (-118)

Both teams have shown a trend toward unders in recent games, and with strong defensive plays likely being a factor, the under seems the safer bet.

Predicted Score: Tennessee Titans 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17

For those interested in the betting landscape, this game presents a compelling scenario. The Titans’ knack for keeping games close on the road and their ATS history against the Buccaneers suggest they may be the best pick here. Meanwhile, for bettors seeking the best betting sites in Canada, these insights should prove useful in making informed wagers on this tight matchup.