Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins 10-04-23 MLB Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins 10/04/23 – As the intense postseason unfolds, the Toronto Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins are gearing up for a crucial showdown. Both squads have demonstrated their tenacity and expertise during the season, with the Blue Jays registering a commendable 89-73 and the Twins not far behind at 87-75. This eagerly-awaited clash will spotlight starting pitchers Jose Berrios of the Blue Jays and Sonny Gray of the Twins. Considering the importance of this game, MLB picks are sure to be in high demand.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins

Date & Time: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 at 4:38 PM ET

Location: Target Field


Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Odds

Blue Jays+121+1.5 (-180)7.5 over (-106)
Twins-132-1.5 (+160)7.5 under (-114)

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

Toronto’s offensive unit has been steady this season, boasting a batting average of .256 and generating 746 runs from 1423 hits. Their power at the plate has been evident with their 188 home runs, and they’ve maintained a solid .329 on-base percentage and .417 slugging percentage.

On the defensive front, the Blue Jays have a team ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.25. These numbers highlight a defense that, while not impregnable, has largely been effective. They’ve issued 488 walks but have an impressive 1528 strikeouts to their name, limiting opponents to a .241 batting average.

For this match, the Blue Jays are relying on Jose Berrios. With an 11-12 record, 3.65 ERA, and 1.19 WHIP over 189.2 innings, Berrios has been a workhorse. His 184 strikeouts against 52 walks showcase his potential to stifle the Twins’ offense.

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins, while having a slightly lower batting average at .243, have capitalized on opportunities, resulting in 778 runs from 1335 hits. Their home run count stands tall at 233, underlining their ability to clear the fences with ease. They have a respectable on-base percentage of .326 and a slugging percentage of .427.

Defensively, Minnesota has posted a slightly higher ERA at 3.87, but their WHIP at 1.2 indicates a tight ship. Their pitchers have given away 443 walks while striking out an impressive 1560 batters. With opponents batting at .236 against them, they’ve been proficient in limiting scoring chances.

Sonny Gray, the chosen arm for the Twins, has a balanced 8-8 record. However, his standout 2.79 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 184 innings indicate a strong season. With 183 strikeouts, 55 walks, and only 8 home runs allowed, Gray is well-prepared for this encounter.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins Against the Spread

Toronto’s recent form has been less than stellar. They’re 2-5 SU in their last 7 games and have struggled against the Twins, with a 2-4 SU record in their last 6 encounters. However, the total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 road games. Interestingly, when in Minnesota, the total tends to go UNDER, with 4 of their last 5 games following this trend.

The Twins, on the other hand, have been on a tear recently with a 9-3 SU record in their last 12 games. Playing at home seems to favor them, boasting a 4-1 SU record in their last 5 home games. The trend of low-scoring games against Toronto at home persists, with the total going UNDER in 4 of the last 5 such encounters.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins Free Pick

Based on the provided information:

Moneyline: Twins -132. 

The Twins’ recent form, especially at home, suggests they have an edge.

Spread: Blue Jays +1.5 (-180)

Given Toronto’s batting strengths and the anticipated close game, it’s reasonable to expect them to cover the spread.

Total: 7.5 under (-114)

Both teams have strong starting pitchers, and historical trends, especially in Minnesota, lean towards low-scoring games.

Predicted Score: Minnesota Twins 4, Toronto Blue Jays 3

In conclusion, while both teams bring their own strengths to this game, the Twins appear to have the edge, particularly when playing at home. However, the Blue Jays, with their robust offensive stats, shouldn’t be underestimated. For those interested in Canadian top live betting, the spread seems to be the safest bet, given the expected tightness of the match.