Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 10-5-23 NCAAF Week 6 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 10/5/23 – The upcoming NCAAF encounter showcases the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers facing off against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs in what promises to be an electric contest. With both teams displaying fairly balanced records thus far in the season, it becomes increasingly challenging to gauge an outright favorite. As fans eagerly anticipate the clash, bettors are on the hunt for the best NCAAF expert free picks.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Date & Time: Thursday, October 5, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Location: Joe Aillet Stadium


Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 10/5/23 Betting Odds

Western Kentucky-250-6.5 (-110)59.5 over (-105)
Louisiana Tech +210+6.5 (-110)59.5 under (-115)

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Analysis

Leading the Hilltoppers’ offense, QB Austin Reed exhibits solid numbers with 1,368 passing yards from 212 attempts, translating to a 61.8% completion rate. Reed’s 6.5 yards per pass attempt alongside his 11 touchdowns against 2 interceptions highlight his efficient play-making ability. RB L.T. Sanders, although used sparingly, has showcased great promise averaging an impressive 6.5 yards per rush. On the aerial front, Malachi Corley has emerged as a primary target for Reed, clocking in 331 receiving yards from 29 catches and tallying 2 touchdowns.

Defensively, the Hilltoppers have displayed certain vulnerabilities, especially when faced with potent offenses from the Conference USA. While their stats show a commendable ability to limit opponents’ scores in recent games, they need to tighten up their defense, especially in the secondary. The upcoming game against the Bulldogs will test their defensive resilience and adaptability, making it crucial for them to strategize and focus on shutting down the Bulldogs’ key players.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Analysis

The Bulldogs, under the guidance of QB Hank Bachmeier, have shown moments of brilliance. Bachmeier boasts 756 passing yards from 106 attempts with a commendable 66% completion rate. An average of 7.1 yards per pass attempt and 5 touchdowns against 2 interceptions indicates his capability to command the field. RB Tyre Shelton stands out in the running game, clocking an impressive 8.6 yards per rush attempt, complemented by 3 touchdowns. In the passing department, Smoke Harris, with 368 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, is a force to reckon with.

Defensively, the Bulldogs have had their share of challenges. Their track record, especially against teams from the Conference USA, reveals some cracks in their defensive armor. While their front seven have shown moments of pressure, the secondary occasionally falters, especially against potent aerial attacks. As they prepare to face the Hilltoppers, reinforcing their defensive line and ensuring tight coverage in the secondary will be paramount. They’ll need to bring their A-game to counter the Hilltoppers’ offensive dynamism.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Against the Spread

Western Kentucky, with a 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games, showcases a decent performance against the spread. The team’s recent form suggests a consistent performance, going 5-2 SU in their last 7 games. More impressively, their away form indicates a 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games on the road. The stats also show a trend of games going UNDER, especially against teams in the Conference USA.

On the flip side, Louisiana Tech’s betting trends present a mixed picture. They’ve gone UNDER in 6 of their last 9 games, yet, intriguingly, the total has gone OVER in 10 of their last 11 home games. Their recent form hasn’t been too promising, with a 6-14 SU in their last 20 games, making it a challenging game for bettors.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Free Pick

Considering odds, trends, team stats, and key players, the picks are:

Moneyline: Western Kentucky -250

Western Kentucky recent form and better ATS record give them the edge.

Spread: Western Kentucky -6.5 (-110)

Given the Western Kentucky offensive prowess and the Bulldogs’ defensive struggles, the Hilltoppers are likely to cover the spread.

Total: 59.5 over (-105)

Both teams have the offensive capability to push the total over, especially considering the Bulldogs’ over-trend at home.

Predicted Score: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 35, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 27

In wrapping up, while the matchup is poised to be competitive, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers’ balanced play and superior ATS record make them a promising pick. For those engaging with Canadian online sportsbooks, this clash offers a golden opportunity to place a savvy bet, leveraging the Hilltoppers’ current form.