Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 14 Betting Picks and Prediction for Sunday, December 10, 2023

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 14 – The Bills and Chiefs will square off this Sunday in an important AFC matchup. With 6-6 Buffalo and 8-4 Kansas City both needing wins to solidify their playoff positions, this battle between two of the top teams over recent seasons should provide plenty of excitement. Let’s breakdown odds and best bets for this Week 14 clash involving Josh Allen’s Bills facing Patrick Mahomes’ Chiefs; both boast top-tier offensive talent that could explode any moment; their defenses possess vulnerabilities which could be exploited. Using NFL daily picks and predictions we’ll analyze critical aspects in this matchup!

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Date & Time: Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium


Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 14 Betting Odds

Bills+135+2.5 (-102)47 over (-111)
Chiefs-155-2.5 (-125)47 under (-111)

Buffalo Bills Analysis

The Bills enter Arrowhead Stadium struggling mightily over their last six games. During that stretch, Buffalo owns a 2-4 straight up record while failing to cover five times. Josh Allen has battled inconsistency and turnover issues with 7 interceptions over this poor run.

However, Allen still leads an explosive passing attack featuring Stefon Diggs and an underrated ground game with Devin Singletary and James Cook. If Allen protects the football and utilizes the talent around him, Buffalo has enough firepower to challenge even Kansas City’s fifth-ranked scoring defense.

Defensively, the Bills got humiliated by the Lions on Thanksgiving. Buffalo ranks 18th against the pass and 21st versus the run. Leslie Frazier’s unit must regain its elite 2021 form, particularly in containing Travis Kelce and the Chiefs’ playmakers. With Tre’Davious White and Jordan Poyer battling injuries in the secondary, the Bills defense has clear vulnerabilities Kansas City will aim to exploit.

Kansas City Chiefs Analysis

Winners of five consecutive games, Kansas City is peaking at the right time for another potential Super Bowl run. Patrick Mahomes pilots the league’s top passing offense while limiting mistakes. Young running back Isiah Pacheco has provided a dynamic ground game presence. This well-balanced Chiefs attack averages 28.5 points per contest.

Defensively, Kansas City struggled early but has stiffened recently under new coordinator Steve Spagnuolo. The Chiefs rank fifth in points allowed. Chris Jones anchors the defensive line while rookie corners Joshua Williams and Trent McDuffie have exceeded expectations. Veterans Frank Clark and Carlos Dunlap provide critical playoff experience chasing the quarterback.

Against the Bills’ eighth-ranked total offense, the Chiefs must continue their upward defensive trajectory. Limiting Josh Allen’s freelancing and collapsing the pocket will be critical. Meanwhile, Kansas City’s offense should consistently move the ball at home against Buffalo’s vulnerable defense.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Against the Spread

The Bills have struggled to meet betting expectations, covering just twice over their past seven outings. Before this downturn, Buffalo owned a remarkable 11-2 ATS record the previous two seasons. The Bills clearly have the talent to beat quality opponents, even on the road. But Josh Allen’s sudden rash of turnovers remains highly concerning.

Meanwhile, with five straight covers, Kansas City is surging for bettors. The Chiefs went 9-8 ATS last season while flashing elite upside and ripping off long winning streaks. At home, Kansas City covers over 60% of the time under Andy Reid. Patrick Mahomes and the offense should thrive against the Bills’ inconsistent defense.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, the picks are as follows:

Moneyline: Chiefs -155

The Chiefs’ overall consistency and home-field advantage give them the edge in this matchup.

Spread: Chiefs -2.5 (-125)

Kansas City’s ability to cover spreads, especially at home, makes them a favorable pick.

Total: 47 over (-111) 

Given both teams’ offensive capabilities, a high-scoring game is likely, making the over a compelling choice.

Predicted Score: Kansas City Chiefs 30, Buffalo Bills 24

The Chiefs, with their balanced offense and strong home record, are the safer bet both on the Moneyline and the spread. For those looking at top betting websites in Canada, betting on the Chiefs to cover and the total going over seems to be the most reliable pick.