Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns 5-11-23 NBA Prediction, Picks and Odds

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns 5/11/23 – On Thursday evening, Game 6 of the Western Conference Semi-Final series between  Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns will take place. Denver took a 3-2 lead in this series with victory at home in Game 5. Home teams have won every game in this series. NBA betting trends expected the Phoenix to tie the series in this matchup.

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Date & Time: Thursday, May 11, 2023 at 10:0 PM ET

Location: Footprint Center Phoenix, AZ


Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns 5/11/23 Betting Odds


Moneyline: +140

Spread: +3.5 (-113)

Total: 226.5 over (-108)


Moneyline: -160

Spread: -3.5 (-107)

Total: 226.5 under (-112)

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Analysis

Game 5 saw the Denver Nuggets come away victorious by a score of 118-102 and as regards fouls, 17 were committed by them while 22 by Suns players. Phoenix hit 9 of their 27 3-point attempts and shot 70.8% from the free throw line, sinking 17 out of 24 shots. Phoenix scored 42 boards and collected 6 blocks, as well as dishing out 22 assists and recording 6 steals during this matchup. Denver held their opponents to only 43.2% shooting on 38 of 88 shots taken, giving out 32 dimes while forcing 10 turnovers and getting 6 steals in return. Regarding rebounds, they earned 50 with 10 coming off offensive boards. At the charity stripe, the Nuggets converted 21 out of 28 attempts for an amazing 75.0% success rate. Denver finished with a 49.4% field goal percentage and made 13 of 27 3-point shots attempted. Nikola Jokic stood out in this game. He scored 29 points on 12 of 20 shooting, playing 38 minutes while also collecting 13 rebounds and shooting 60.0% from the floor while dishing out 12 dimes.

The Denver Nuggets have an average shooting percentage of 37.9% from beyond the perimeter and 75.1% at free throw line, as a team. As an organization they average 43 rebounds per game as well as accounting for 2,368 dimes on the season which ranks them 2nd. Loss of possession occurs via turnover 14.5 times every game while as an organization they commit 18.6 fouls each game. Defense for the Nuggets has been stellar; forcing 13.5 turnovers per game while drawing 19.5 personal fouls while yielding 34.4% on long shots from distance while ranking 8th in NBA opponents PPG allowed. They are allowing an opponent field goal percentage of 47.8% while giving up 40.8 rebounds per game, and ranking 16th overall with 2,105 assists surrendered during this season.

Concerning team rebounding in Game 5, Phoenix allowed Denver to get 50 total rebounds. They shot 48.1% from distance by shooting 13 of 27 and scored 21 out of 28 on the charity stripe. The Suns allowed the Nuggets to convert 42 of 85 attempts from the floor for a shooting percentage of 49.4% in this matchup. At the final whistle, the Suns came away by shooting 38 of 88 from the floor for 43.2% accuracy. Phoenix had success hitting 9 of 27 three-point shots and 17 free throws for an overall percentage of 70.8%. Devin Booker was key for the Suns in this matchup. Booker recorded 28 points in 41 minutes while dishing out four assists and making 8 of 19 field goal attempts for an impressive 42.1%; additionally he pulled down 6 rebounds.

The Phoenix Suns have committed 21.2 fouls per game and are shooting 79.3% from the free throw line. On average, they receive 27.3 assists and turn over 13.5 times each contest. Phoenix has scored 9,319 points this season while averaging 44.2 boards per contest on offense; their offensive efficiency sits at 46.7% from floor – ranking 23rd among basketball teams. Phoenix defense allows their opponents to convert on 35.7% of shots from beyond the arc and 78.6% of free throw attempts, giving up 23.4 assists per game and 42.9 rebounds per game, respectively, ranking them 3rd and 11th among NBA teams respectively. Furthermore, Phoenix has allowed 111.6 points per contest, forcing 14.4 turnovers per game, allowing teams to shoot 46.6% from the floor.

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Against the Spread

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 9 games. Denver are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games. Denver are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against Phoenix. Denver are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road. Denver are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix.

Phoenix are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix’s last 13 games. Phoenix are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix’s last 6 games against Denver. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix’s last 7 games at home.

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Free Pick

Even without Chris Paul 3, the Suns still possess two of the top perimeter scorers in the league. Devin Booker has taken on some point guard and playmaking duties and now can assist Durant on his wing when necessary. This series will reach Game 7 as neither Booker or Durant intend to succumb in their home states as per the top NBA betting sites.

Free Pick: Phoenix Suns -3.5 (-107)