Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies 4/11/23 – On Tuesday evening, the Miami Marlins take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Miami had previously lost two of three to the New York Mets, with only one getting recorded during that stretch. Philadelphia took two of three games from Cincinnati in their previous series, but lost the finale. The starting pitchers will be Jesus Luzardo and Aaron Nola. The Philadelphia Phillies are predicted by the best MLB betting odds to win the game on Tuesday.
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date & Time: Tuesday, April 11, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies 4/11/23 Betting Odds
Marlins
Moneyline: +140
Spread: +1.5 (-172)
Total: 7.5 over (-104)
Phillies
Moneyline: -182
Spread: -1.5 (+121)
Total: 7.5 under (-135)
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Analysis
The Miami Marlins have scored an average of 2.7 runs per outing this season, ranking them 30th in baseball. Their 27 runs scored and OBP of 0.292 puts them atop the league; 10 two-baggers and 11 home runs have been hit out of the park so far. On top of that, Miami boasts 27 RBI’s and 73 base knocks on the year for a team batting average of 0.230. Additionally, Miami owns a slugging percentage of 0.372 while taking 95 pitches while walking 28 times this season. Marlins relief pitchers have pitched with runners on base 8 times and in high leverage situations 6 times. They have recorded 2 holds on the season. On top of that, their save rate has been 100.0% with them taking 3 save opportunities and recording one save; they have missed none of those chances all season. Ultimately, 15 base runners were inherited this season with 6.7% crossing home plate for Miami; 32 relievers have come into relief games this season for 32 appearances overall. The Miami Marlins have converted 73.4% of balls hit into play into outs from 792 innings, ranking them 4th in professional baseball. On the season, they have accounted for 264 putouts, 88 assists and 8 errors – giving them a fielding rate of 0.978 which puts them 28th in MLB; plus they’ve turned 7 double plays to extend their lead at the top of the standings.
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit 7 home runs and driven in 28 RBIs this season, along with 19 two-baggers and 22 free bases. As a team, the Phillies boast an OBP of 0.311 and team batting average of 0.261, plus they hold an SLG% of 0.426 which allows them to score 3.33 runs per game on 92 occasions while earning 79 base hits overall. Philadelphia has sent their bullpen pitchers onto the hill in two save opportunities and come away with one save. They rank 23rd in MLB with a save rate of 50.0%, having sent 36 relief pitchers into action this season – 6 times in high leverage situations and 11 times with runners on base. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 60.0% out of their 20 inherited base runners; additionally, Philadelphia has 4 holds and one blown save in 6 save situations this season. From their 684 innings played this season, the Philadelphia Phillies have achieved a defensive efficiency of 67.6%. They’ve generated 6 double plays and boast a fielding percentage of 0.993; additionally, they’ve collected 72 assists, made 2 errors, and recorded 228 putouts altogether.
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Against the Spread
Under is 3-0-2 in the Marlins last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Marlins are 0-7 in Luzardo’s last 7 Tuesday starts. Marlins are 0-5 in Luzardos last 5 road starts. Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 3-0-2 in Nolas last 5 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games.
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick
Philadelphia is better than it has played this season and will make Luzardo work for his outs, forcing him out of the game early. Additionally, Philadelphia could use a bounce-back start from Nola who can give the pen some rest with an extended performance. Take the Phillies on the moneyline as per the MLB betting trends.
Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -182
