Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs 09-30-23 NCAAF Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs 09/30/23 – College football season has officially kicked into full gear, and in this Week 5 matchup, we feature the winless Nevada Wolf Pack taking on Fresno State Bulldogs, who remain undefeated – both teams desperately looking for their first victory. At the same time, Fresno State seeks to preserve its perfect record and continue its unblemished record. In this piece, we provide a comprehensive analysis of both teams and explore betting odds, trends and key players before offering our top college football picks for this thrilling battle at Bulldog Stadium.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

Date & Time: Saturday, September 30, 2023, at 10:30 PM ET

Location: Bulldog Stadium


Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs 09/30/23 Betting Odds

Nevada Wolf Pack+1050+24.5 (-110)49.5 over (-113)
Fresno State Bulldogs-2300-24.5 (-110)49.5 under (-107)

Nevada Wolf Pack Analysis

Nevada Wolf Pack finds itself in a challenging position after starting its season 0-4; their offense, led by quarterback Brendon Lewis, has struggled to find its rhythm. Lewis completed 61.7 percent of 107 passes for 550 yards with no touchdown passes and two interceptions. To emphasize Nevada’s struggles on offense even further, only two rushing touchdowns have been scored so far by running back Sean Dollars this season – something the entire Wolf Pack team can agree upon.

Nevada Wolf Pack defense hasn’t fared much better. Allowing 7 total sacks that resulted in 43 yards lost, their inability to stop opponents is one reason they are winless since losing three games last season and going winless away from home; going winless through seven of those seven away games (go 0-7 straight up). Nevada must make drastic improvements on both ends of the court in order to have any hope against Fresno State Bulldogs, such as increasing offensive production while strengthening defense.

Fresno State Bulldogs Analysis

Fresno State Bulldogs have been on an unstoppable roll this season, boasting a perfect 4-0 record heading into this game. Quarterback Mikey Keene has been instrumental in their success, completing 110 out of 163 attempts for 1205 passing yards with 12 touchdown passes against only 2 interceptions for an astounding passer rating of 151.4. Keene’s ability to move the ball efficiently while finding its target has been key in propelling their success.

Elijah Gilliam has been the centerpiece of Keene’s running game with 65 attempts for 274 yards and 4 touchdowns on 65 attempts. Erik Brooks has provided reliable targets in passing game, collecting 32 receptions for 448 receiving yards and four receiving touchdowns in 32 receptions total.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Against the Spread

When it comes to betting trends, Nevada has been struggling against the spread, going 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. They’ve also had a tough time on the road, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing away against Fresno State. On the other hand, Fresno State has been more consistent, with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games.

The total has gone over in 8 of Fresno State’s last 12 games, suggesting that they tend to be involved in high-scoring affairs. On the flip side, the total has gone over in 5 of their last 6 games against Nevada.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Free Pick

Based on the odds, recent team performance, and key player statistics, here are our picks for this game:

Moneyline: Fresno State -2300

The Bulldogs’ undefeated record and the struggles of the Nevada Wolf Pack make Fresno State the clear favorite in this matchup. While the moneyline odds don’t offer much value, it’s a safer bet to take the Bulldogs for the win.

Spread: Nevada +24.5 (-110)

Despite their winless record, Nevada has shown some resilience in covering the spread, especially on the road against Fresno State. The large point spread in favor of the Bulldogs may provide an opportunity for the Wolf Pack to cover.

Total: 49.5 over (-113)

Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games, and with Fresno State’s explosive offense, the total points in this game could easily surpass 49.5.

Predicted Score: Fresno State Bulldogs 38, Nevada Wolf Pack 17

In conclusion, the Fresno State Bulldogs enter this Week 5 matchup as heavy favorites against the struggling Nevada Wolf Pack. While Nevada’s recent ATS performance on the road against Fresno State suggests they may cover the spread, it’s hard to bet against the Bulldogs maintaining their perfect record. Expect a high-scoring affair with Fresno State coming out on top. For those interested in sports betting in Canada, this game offers an opportunity to explore various betting options. Make sure to consider the odds, trends, and key player performances before placing your bets, and always gamble responsibly.