New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9-23-23 MLB Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/23/23 – As we gear up for a late-September showdown between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies, both teams are playing for different stakes. With Jose Quintana and Zack Wheeler as the starting pitchers, the focus will be on whether the Mets can pull an upset or if the Phillies will reinforce their stronger season record. If you’re searching for free MLB picks, this analysis has got you covered.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Date & Time: Saturday, September 23, 2023, at 4:05 PM ET  

Location: Citizens Bank Park  


New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/23/23 Betting Odds

New York Mets+166+1.5 (-137)7.5 o (-118)
Philadelphia Phillies-182-1.5 (+117)7.5 u (-102)

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets have had a rather underwhelming season, as reflected by their batting average of .240. Although they’ve scored 676 runs, their performance has lacked the firepower necessary to compete at the highest level. Their 202 home runs and an on-base percentage of .318 paint the picture of an inconsistent offense.

Defensively, the Mets have been somewhat more stable. With a team ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.36, they are somewhere in the middle of the pack. They’ve registered 1312 strikeouts and allowed 567 walks, which again are modest numbers but indicate a certain level of control from their pitching staff.

Jose Quintana brings a mix of experience and resilience to the mound. With a 3-5 record and a respectable 3.02 ERA, Quintana shows promise despite a lackluster team performance this season. His WHIP stands at 1.28 across 65.2 innings pitched, and he’s given up only 2 home runs, showcasing his ability to keep the ball in the park.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies, on the other hand, have demonstrated better offensive capabilities with a batting average of .257. They have scored 751 runs and amassed 1346 hits, along with 208 home runs. Their on-base percentage of .328 and slugging percentage of .439 further underscore their offensive depth and capability.

On the defensive side, the Phillies boast a team ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.25, which are solid indicators of their defensive capabilities. Their pitching staff has accumulated 1363 strikeouts against 450 walks, suggesting both power and control in their arsenal.

Zack Wheeler will be on the mound for the Phillies, and he’s had an impressive season. His 12-6 record with a 3.63 ERA speaks volumes about his form. The right-hander has managed to maintain a WHIP of 1.07 over 181 innings, racking up 201 strikeouts against 37 walks and 20 home runs. Wheeler brings a level of dependability that gives the Phillies the upper hand in this matchup.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Against the Spread

The Mets are 1-4 straight up (SU) in their last 5 games against the Phillies and 4-8 SU in their last 12 games on the road. Furthermore, they are 1-4 SU when playing on the road against the Phillies. These betting trends don’t paint a favorable picture for the Mets in this matchup.

The Phillies, on the other hand, have seen the total go OVER in 8 of their last 12 games and are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. More notably, they are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against the Mets, which suggests a distinct home-field advantage.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:


Considering both teams’ recent performances and the starting pitching matchup, the Phillies are the safer bet.


The Phillies have been strong against the Mets, particularly at home, and with Wheeler on the mound, they should be able to cover the spread.


Both teams have shown a tendency for higher-scoring games lately, making the OVER a good pick here.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5, New York Mets 2

In conclusion, this MLB matchup leans heavily in favor of the Philadelphia Phillies, both in terms of team stats and the starting pitcher. Zack Wheeler’s form makes him the man to watch in this game. For those looking to place bets, this game offers good opportunities, especially on some of the top betting sites in Canada.