San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 6/29/23 – Prepare for an exciting MLB showdown at PNC Park as the San Diego Padres face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates. This highly anticipated matchup showcases two formidable starting pitchers ready to make their mark. Joe Musgrove represents the San Diego Padres, while Luis Ortiz takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates. Stay tuned for our expert MLB betting picks on this thrilling game.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Date & Time: Thursday, June 29, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
Location: PNC Park
TV: MLBN
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 6/29/23 Betting Odds
Padres
Moneyline: -198
Spread: -1.5 (-108)
Total: 8.5 over (-104)
Pirates
Moneyline: +166
Spread: +1.5 (-111)
Total: 8.5 under (-118)
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis
San Diego Padres come into this matchup boasting an aggressive, offensive lineup with an average batting average of 0.233, proving they can consistently make solid contact with the ball. While their average may not be particularly impressive, their home run total is an impressive 93 total, giving their offense an extra element. This power-hitting ability adds another dynamic element and makes them formidable competitors at bat.
Joe Musgrove has been the cornerstone of the San Diego Padres’ starting pitching this season. Boasting an impressive 6-2 record, Musgrove has shown consistency on the mound with an earned run average of 3.88 that displays his effectiveness at limiting opposing teams’ scoring opportunities, plus 1.26 walk-plus hits per inning pitched to keep runners off of bases. Musgrove started 11 games across 60.1 innings pitched, which attests to his durability and the trust of his teammates.
Though they face off with the Padres as underdogs, Pittsburgh Pirates have shown they have enough firepower to hold their own against them in their offensive game. Their batters have shown they have the potential to score runs by reaching base more frequently with an average batting average of 0.239; their batters have connected at an increased rate than opponents; 72 home runs were hit this season alone, which shows they, too, possess enough firepower at-bat to score runs.
Luis Ortiz will take the mound as starting pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight. His win-loss record stands at 2-3, which suggests an inconsistent performance; however, individual win-loss records do not always accurately depict effectiveness, as they can be heavily impacted by run support and other factors. With an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP rating of 1.62, respectively, Ortiz may present opportunities for the Padres.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Against the Spread
Looking at betting trends, it is noteworthy that the over has prevailed in each of the San Diego Padres’ last four Thursday games. Additionally, the Padres have seen six out of seven games against National League Central opponents undergoing how the under has come into effect. Pittsburgh Pirates games have seen the over prevail in their last five, all featuring totals set at 6.5 or less. However, they have struggled in games with total sets between 7.0 and 8.5 and have only managed to win one out of their last eight matchups.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick
Based on the odds and team performances, the following picks are recommended for this game:
Moneyline: Padres -198
Considering the Padres’ more robust offensive lineup and Joe Musgrove’s consistent performances on the mound, the Padres have a higher probability of securing a victory in this game.
Spread: Padres -1.5 (-108)
Considering the Pirates’ recent struggles against teams with losing records, betting on the San Diego Padres to cover the spread of -1.5 runs is a favorable choice. The Padres’ offensive firepower, combined with Musgrove’s pitching, is expected to give them an edge in this matchup.
Total: 8.5 under (-118)
Given the recent trends and the Padres’ games against National League Central opponents resulting in the under, it is recommended to bet on the total runs scored under 8.5. Both teams have shown inconsistencies in hitting high run totals, making the under a viable option.
Prediction: 3-5 San Diego Padres win
As the San Diego Padres take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in this thrilling MLB matchup, they hold an advantage regarding offensive production and the performance of their starting pitcher, Joe Musgrove. The recommended picks for this game are to bet on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline, cover the spread of -1.5 runs, and for the total runs scored under 8.5. With these MLB predictions and picks, fans can look forward to an exciting battle between these two competitive teams at PNC Park.
