UNLV Rebels vs. UTEP Miners 9-23-23 NCAAF Prediction, Tips, and Analysis

UNLV Rebels vs. UTEP Miners 9/23/23 – As Week 4 of the NCAA Football season unfolds, all eyes will be on the UNLV Rebels, who currently boast a 2-1 record, and the UTEP Miners, standing at 1-3. These teams are set to clash on September 23, 2023, at 9:00 PM ET at Sun Bowl. This is an enticing matchup for fans and those interested in online betting in Canada.

UNLV Rebels vs. UTEP Miners

Date & Time: Friday, September 23 at 9:00 PM ET  

Location: Sun Bowl  

TV: ESP+

UNLV Rebels vs. UTEP Miners 9/23/23 Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
UNLV-130-2.5 (-110)50 over (-115)
UTEP+110+2.5 (-110)50 under (-105)

UNLV Rebels Analysis

UNLV’s offensive unit has shown some flashes of brilliance so far, largely driven by their quarterback Jayden Maiava. He’s completed 28 of his 46 passing attempts, accumulating 369 yards. With a passer rating of 131.1, Maiava has been efficient, albeit with room for improvement. Running back Vincent Davis Jr. has been exceptional on the ground, averaging a robust 8.1 yards per carry.

Defensively, the Rebels need to tighten up their play, especially on the road where they have struggled. Their record stands at 0-5 SU in their last 5 away games. This implies that the defense is more susceptible to making errors when they’re not on their home turf. If the Rebels are going to come out on top against UTEP, their defense needs to create more turnovers and get off the field on third downs.

UTEP Miners Analysis

On the offensive end, UTEP’s quarterback Gavin Hardison has been putting up decent numbers. He’s completed 59 of his 98 attempts for 722 yards but has thrown as many interceptions as touchdowns (4). This speaks to a level of inconsistency that needs to be addressed. Running back Deion Hankins is another player to watch, with an impressive 5.3 yards per rushing attempt.

Defensively, the Miners have also had their struggles, which is reflected in their 1-3 record. What is more concerning is the 10 sacks that their defense has allowed, leading to a loss of 67 yards. If the Miners hope to contain the Rebels’ potent rushing game, they’ll need to patch up their run defense and be more effective at rushing the passer.

UNLV Rebels vs. UTEP Miners Against the Spread

The UNLV Rebels have shown a tendency to outperform expectations. They’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight games, suggesting that they often do better than what the oddsmakers predict. Moreover, their September record is nothing short of remarkable, as they’ve gone 7-1 ATS in their last eight September outings. Week 4 seems to be another favorable period for the Rebels, with a compelling 5-1 ATS record in their last six Week 4 games. All these trends point to a team that is not only comfortable in the early stages of the season but also one that consistently delivers value to those who bet on them.

UTEP, on the other hand, has been a risky bet against the spread. Their recent form leaves a lot to be desired, with a 1-4 straight-up record in their last five games, which doesn’t inspire confidence for spread betting. Furthermore, their ATS record in Week 4 games is not encouraging either, standing at 5-10 in their last 15 Week 4 matchups. However, it’s worth noting that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of UTEP’s last 7 home games, which could potentially have implications for spread betting, especially if the Miners’ defense steps up at home. Therefore, while the Miners may be underdogs in this matchup, they could potentially cover the spread if their defense tightens up, something they’ve shown they can do, at least at home.

UNLV Rebels vs. UTEP Miners Free Pick

Here’s our tips for this matchup:

Moneyline: UNLV -130 

Despite the UNLV Rebels struggles on the road, their recent form and offensive efficiency make them the safer bet.

Spread: UNLV -2.5 (-110)

The UNLV Rebelsr strong ATS trends and superior offensive statistics support this decision.

Total: 50 under (-105)

Given both teams’ recent UNDER trends, especially UTEP’s strong home UNDER record, we’d opt for UNDER 50.

Predicted Score: UNLV 24, UTEP 20

To wrap it up, this game offers some intriguing matchups both offensively and defensively. Although both teams have areas to improve, the Rebels appear to be the more complete team at this stage of the season. Whether you’re a fan or looking to make some NCAAF picks, this game promises to be an intriguing affair.