New Mexico State Aggies vs. Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 9-23-23 NCAAF Analysis, Prediction, and Odds

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors 9/23/23 – Week 4 of the NCAA Football season brings us an intriguing match-up between the New Mexico State Aggies, who stand at 2-2, and the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors with a 1-3 record. This game is set for September 23, 2023, at 10:30 PM ET at Bulldog Stadium. For those looking for college football picks today, this game promises to offer plenty of betting opportunities.

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors

Date & Time: Saturday, September 23 at 10:30 PM ET  

Location: Bulldog Stadium  

TV: CBSSN

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors 9/23/23 Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
New Mexico State+130+3 (-108)56.5 over (-110)
Hawai’i -150-3 (-112)56.5 under (-110)

New Mexico State Aggies Analysis

The New Mexico State Aggies’ offense has been relatively strong so far, especially their passing game. Quarterback Diego Pavia has put up impressive stats with 918 passing yards from 53 completions out of 82 attempts. His completion percentage stands at 64.6%, and he’s thrown 8 touchdowns against 4 interceptions. This is complemented by running back Star Thomas, who has 195 rushing yards from 34 attempts, yielding an impressive average of 5.7 yards per carry.

While the offensive stats are commendable, the Aggies have had some trouble on the defensive side, especially on the road where they are 3-17 SU in their last 20 games. This troubling statistic is a stark reminder that, despite their offensive prowess, the defense has not been able to support the team adequately. To overcome Hawai’i, the Aggies must focus on minimizing turnovers, improving their tackling, and disrupting the Rainbow Warriors’ offensive flow.

Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors Analysis

Offensively, the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors have been efficient in the air. Brayden Schager, their quarterback, has completed 107 of his 171 passing attempts, accumulating 1,103 yards. However, his 6 interceptions are a concern and indicate a level of inconsistency that needs to be ironed out. Running back Jordan Johnson, albeit with only 15 attempts, has averaged a remarkable 7.7 yards per carry, which adds another dimension to Hawai’i’s offense.

When it comes to defense, the Rainbow Warriors need to step up their game. The defensive unit needs to be more disciplined and focused, especially in crunch moments. Hawai’i has a 2-8 SU record in their last 10 games, a worrying stat that suggests the defense may be the weak link in the chain. To secure a win against the Aggies, it will be crucial for Hawai’i to tighten their defensive line and minimize big plays.

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors Against the Spread

New Mexico State boasts a strong 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games, and they have an 8-3 SU record in the same period. Interestingly, they’ve also been successful against Hawai’i in terms of covering the spread, going 4-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings. However, their record on the road and against Hawai’i in terms of straight-up wins remains dismal, making them a risky pick.

Hawai’i has an impressive 10-4-1 ATS record in their last 15 games. They’ve also been dominant against New Mexico State, particularly when playing at home, where they are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games. Although they have struggled recently with a 2-8 SU record in their last 10 games, their ATS performance suggests they often outperform betting expectations.

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors Free Pick

We offer you the best picks for the New Mexico State Aggies vs. Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors matchup, here are some tips:

Moneyline: Hawai’i -150. 

Despite the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors recent struggles, their dominant home record against New Mexico State makes them the safer bet.

Spread: Hawai’i -3 (-112)

Their strong ATS performance and home advantage over the Aggies tip the scales in their favor.

Total: 56.5 over (-110)

Given both teams’ offensive capabilities, we’d go for the OVER 56.5.

Predicted Score: Hawai’i 35, New Mexico State 28

This matchup promises to be an engaging clash that offers a plethora of betting opportunities. Both teams have had their moments this season, but Hawai’i’s home advantage and New Mexico State’s defensive woes make the Rainbow Warriors the safer pick. For those engaged in sports betting in Canada, this game offers compelling options.